Catalysts & Headlines (CET)
ECB Lagarde speech and US unemployment claims in focus
ECB governance commentary and US labor data could spark intraday moves, with European risk appetite sensitive to the Lagarde signal.
10:00
CPI (CHF) print and BOE Bailey commentary ahead
Swiss inflation print alongside a central bank speaker could nudge European rate expectations and FX flows.
08:30
Economic Calendar (CET)
08:30CHCPI m/mMed
10:00EUECB President Lagarde SpeaksMed
14:30USUnemployment ClaimsMed
17:40GBBOE Gov Bailey SpeaksHigh
Key Levels — DAX
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| Pivot | 24800 | Pivot |
| R1 | 24850 | Resistance |
| R2 | 25000 | Resistance |
| S1 | 24750 | Support |
| S2 | 24600 | Support |
| S3 | 24500 | Support |
| POC | 24780 | POC |
Overnight Session
DAX Pre-Market
24796
525
EURO STOXX 50
6054
-54
VIX
16.06
0.29
10Y Yield
4.491
0.036
EUR-USD
1.1616
-0.0006
Brent
96.71
-1.10
Market Context
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX SentimentNeutral posture amid chop
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-CallBalanced
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term StructureContained
Eurozone implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VSTOXX level: VSTOXX<=18 -> ~100 (calm); VSTOXX>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias on DAX. Red = stressed, bearish for DAX. Amber = mid.
VSTOXX35.46
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
BreadthMixed
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 24790-24805 |
| Stop | 24740 |
| TP1 | 24850 |
| TP2 | 25000 |
Pivot region adherence + mild breakout above S1
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 24740-24760 |
| Stop | 24860 |
| TP1 | 24700 |
| TP2 | 24600 |
Breakdown below S1 with risk-managed exits
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