Catalysts & Headlines (CET)
ADP Non-Farm Payrolls and ISM Services PMI in focus
Two key US reports today could extend or pause the move if data surprise to the upside or downside.
14:15
ISM Services PMI release impact
Strong services backdrop could sustain risk appetite into US session.
16:00
Speaks from Treasury official
Speech could influence policy expectations but with limited long-term impact.
16:00
Economic Calendar (CET)
14:15USADP Non-Farm Employment ChangeHigh
16:00USISM Services PMIHigh
16:00USTreasury Sec Bessent SpeaksMed
Key Levels — DAX
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| Pivot | 24880 | Pivot |
| R1 | 24920 | Resistance |
| R2 | 25040 | Resistance |
| S1 | 24860 | Support |
| S2 | 24820 | Support |
| S3 | 24780 | Support |
| POC | 24850 | POC |
Overnight Session
DAX Pre-Market
24890
619
EURO STOXX 50
6067
-41
VIX
16.24
0.47
10Y Yield
4.491
0.036
EUR-USD
1.1605
-0.0030
Brent
97.69
1.69
Market Context
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX Sentimentneutral
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call0.95
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structureslightly elevated
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadthmixed
Eurozone implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VSTOXX level: VSTOXX<=18 -> ~100 (calm); VSTOXX>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias on DAX. Red = stressed, bearish for DAX. Amber = mid.
VSTOXX35.46
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 24885-24895 |
| Stop | S1 24860 |
| TP1 | R1 24920 |
| TP2 | R2 25040 |
Pivot breakout with buffer near S1 protection
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 24860-24875 |
| Stop | R1 24920 |
| TP1 | S1 24860 |
| TP2 | S2 24820 |
Fade rally near pivot with downside protection
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