Catalysts & Headlines (CET)

⚡
ECB event risk remains in focus after preliminary regime signals
Intraday catalysts risk a breakout if EU rates or guidance shift, with the calendar showing euro area risk events.
10:00

Economic Calendar (CET)

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10:00EUECB Financial Stability ReviewMed

Key Levels — DAX

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LevelPriceType
Pivot25180Pivot
R125205Resistance
R225270Resistance
S125155Support
S225120Support
POC25165POC

Overnight Session

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DAX Pre-Market
25178
1134
EURO STOXX 50
6071
6
VIX
16.50
-0.51
10Y Yield
4.483
-0.010
EUR-USD
1.1633
-0.0004
Brent
92.47
-7.11

Market Context

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Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX SentimentNeutral
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-CallMixed
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term StructureContained
Eurozone implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VSTOXX level: VSTOXX<=18 -> ~100 (calm); VSTOXX>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias on DAX. Red = stressed, bearish for DAX. Amber = mid.
VSTOXX35.46
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
BreadthWeak

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry25185-25195
Stop25160
TP125215
TP225270
Pivot breakout near R1.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry25165-25175
Stop25195
TP125150
TP225120
S1 dip fade.
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