Catalysts & Headlines (CET)
Wall Street cash open
The Wall Street open can either validate the DAX breakout attempt or trigger profit-taking after the strong European rally.
15:30
US consumer confidence
A stronger reading may lift yields and test risk appetite, while a softer print would support the lower-yield, risk-on backdrop.
16:00
Economic Calendar (CET)
16:00USCB Consumer ConfidenceMed
Key Levels — DAX
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 25539 | Resistance |
| R2 | 25450 | Resistance |
| R1 | 25358 | Resistance |
| POC | 25265 | POC |
| Pivot | 25269 | Pivot |
| S1 | 25177 | Support |
| S2 | 25088 | Support |
| S3 | 24996 | Support |
Overnight Session
DAX Pre-Market
25265
1523
EURO STOXX 50
6098
79
VIX
16.77
0.18
10Y Yield
4.489
-0.069
EUR-USD
1.1635
-0.0007
Brent
96.22
-3.99
Market Context
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX Sentiment66
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call52
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure58
Eurozone implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VSTOXX level: VSTOXX<=18 -> ~100 (calm); VSTOXX>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias on DAX. Red = stressed, bearish for DAX. Amber = mid.
VSTOXX28
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth71
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 25346-25370 |
| Stop | 25269 |
| TP1 | 25450 |
| TP2 | 25539 |
A clean push through R1 keeps momentum buyers in control, with R2 first objective and R3 as extension target.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 25257-25281 |
| Stop | 25358 |
| TP1 | 25177 |
| TP2 | 25088 |
Loss of the pivot would signal failed momentum and open a measured pullback toward the first two support shelves.
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