Catalysts & Headlines (CET)

⚡
US open liquidity test
US cash-session flows can decide whether DAX holds above the 24450 pivot or rotates back toward 24309 support.
15:30
FOMC minutes risk
A hawkish tone would likely lift yields and pressure equity multiples into the European close and after-hours trade.
20:00
BoE hearing spillover
Sterling-rate repricing can spill into European financials and keep volatility elevated across the afternoon.
15:15

Economic Calendar (CET)

📅
08:00GBCPI y/yHigh
15:15GBMonetary Policy Report HearingsMed
20:00USFOMC Meeting MinutesHigh

Key Levels — DAX

📐
LevelPriceType
R324917Resistance
R224754Resistance
R124613Resistance
POC24478POC
Pivot24450Pivot
S124309Support
S224146Support
S323985Support

Overnight Session

🌙
DAX Pre-Market
24471
1550
EURO STOXX 50
5893
42
VIX
17.98
-0.08
10Y Yield
4.655
-0.012
EUR-USD
1.1597
-0.0058
Brent
108.53
-2.75

Market Context

📊
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX SentimentConstructive but stretched
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-CallBalanced hedging
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term StructureMildly supportive
Eurozone implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VSTOXX level: VSTOXX<=18 -> ~100 (calm); VSTOXX>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias on DAX. Red = stressed, bearish for DAX. Amber = mid.
VSTOXXElevated 35.46
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
BreadthPositive Europe leadership

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry24438-24462
Stop24309
TP124613
TP224754
Buy the pivot retest while it holds; bulls need defense of 24450 to re-attack R1 and extend momentum.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry24601-24625
Stop24754
TP124309
TP224146
Fade only into R1 supply; elevated volatility argues against chasing highs unless buyers clear 24613 decisively.
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