Catalysts & Headlines (CET)

⚡
Wall Street handover
A firm Wall Street open would help DAX defend the pivot, while a weak handover raises profit-taking risk after the surge.
15:30
Pending Home Sales
A hot print can lift yields and pressure growth sentiment; a soft print may support the relief bid.
16:00
European close positioning
After a vertical session, late-day positioning can exaggerate moves around first resistance and the pivot.
17:30

Economic Calendar (CET)

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08:00GBClaimant Count ChangeHigh
08:00GBAverage Earnings Index 3m/yMed
16:00USPending Home Sales m/mMed

Key Levels — DAX

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LevelPriceType
R325084Resistance
R224887Resistance
R124752Resistance
POC24616POC
Pivot24555Pivot
S124420Support
S224223Support
S324088Support

Overnight Session

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DAX Pre-Market
24616
1448
EURO STOXX 50
5897
48
VIX
17.92
0.10
10Y Yield
4.625
0.002
EUR-USD
1.1617
0.0003
Brent
110.36
-1.74

Market Context

📊
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX Sentiment64/100 constructive
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call52/100 balanced
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure56/100 mildly calm
Eurozone implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VSTOXX level: VSTOXX<=18 -> ~100 (calm); VSTOXX>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias on DAX. Red = stressed, bearish for DAX. Amber = mid.
VSTOXX72/100 elevated
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth62/100 positive

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry24543-24567
Stop24420
TP124752
TP224887
Pivot defence keeps momentum alive; TP1 sits at the first resistance where partials reduce giveback risk.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry24740-24764
Stop24887
TP124420
TP224223
Fade into first resistance while volatility stays elevated; risk is capped at the next resistance.
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