Catalysts & Headlines (CET)

⚡
US producer-price inflation risk
Producer-price inflation can move yields and equity multiples quickly, especially with DAX extended intraday.
14:30
Fed leadership vote
A clean vote would calm policy uncertainty, while any surprise could hit late-session US risk appetite.
20:30
Volatility remains a constraint
VSTOXX remains elevated, so rallies need confirmation rather than blind momentum chasing.
15:16

Economic Calendar (CET)

📅
14:30USCore PPI m/mHigh
14:30USPPI m/mHigh
20:30USFed Chair Nomination VoteHigh

Key Levels — DAX

📐
LevelPriceType
R324475Resistance
R224370Resistance
R124226Resistance
POC24076POC
Pivot24116Pivot
S124002Support
S223870Support
S323740Support

Overnight Session

🌙
DAX Pre-Market
24076
1776
EURO STOXX 50
5820
11
VIX
18.11
0.12
10Y Yield
4.475
0.012
EUR-USD
1.1705
-0.0075
Brent
107.42
-0.35

Market Context

📊
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX Sentiment57/100
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call48/100
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure42/100
Eurozone implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VSTOXX level: VSTOXX<=18 -> ~100 (calm); VSTOXX>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias on DAX. Red = stressed, bearish for DAX. Amber = mid.
VSTOXX25/100
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth55/100

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry24214-24238
Stop24104
TP124370
TP224475
Only chase strength on a clean break of the session high, with targets staged into upper resistance.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry24104-24128
Stop24238
TP123870
TP223740
Fade a recovery into pivot resistance while volatility stays elevated and the regime remains choppy.
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