Catalysts & Headlines (CET)
CPI repricing risk
Inflation repricing can drive USD rates and S&P 500 futures, keeping DAX beta highly sensitive into the afternoon.
14:30
Fed leadership vote
Any political uncertainty around the vote can add another rates-volatility impulse late in the European session.
17:59
Economic Calendar (CET)
14:30USCore CPI m/mHigh
14:30USCPI m/mHigh
14:30USCPI y/yHigh
17:59USFed Chair Nomination VoteHigh
Key Levels — DAX
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 24470 | Resistance |
| R2 | 24350 | Resistance |
| R1 | 24230 | Resistance |
| POC | 24158 | POC |
| Pivot | 24130 | Pivot |
| S1 | 24050 | Support |
| S2 | 23950 | Support |
| S3 | 23850 | Support |
Overnight Session
DAX Pre-Market
24132
1519
EURO STOXX 50
5847
-48
VIX
18.66
0.28
10Y Yield
4.433
0.023
EUR-USD
1.1741
-0.0028
Brent
107.49
3.28
Market Context
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX Sentiment55
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call52
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure42
Eurozone implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VSTOXX level: VSTOXX<=18 -> ~100 (calm); VSTOXX>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias on DAX. Red = stressed, bearish for DAX. Amber = mid.
VSTOXX28
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth45
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 24218-24242 |
| Stop | 24130 |
| TP1 | 24350 |
| TP2 | 24470 |
Only sustained trade through R1 confirms momentum after the CPI impulse; targets step higher into R2 and R3.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Limit |
| Entry | 24218-24242 |
| Stop | 24350 |
| TP1 | 24050 |
| TP2 | 23950 |
R1 is the first fade zone while volatility stays elevated; failed acceptance there targets a rotation back through S1.
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