Catalysts & Headlines (CET)

⚡
US labour market repricing
Wage and payroll reactions remain the key driver for yields, the euro, and index risk appetite.
14:30
Consumer sentiment and inflation expectations
Inflation-expectation drift can quickly alter rate-cut pricing and pressure equity multiples.
16:00
Brent stays bid
Oil strength keeps inflation sensitivity on the radar and can cap late-day multiple expansion.
19:16

Economic Calendar (CET)

📅
09:00EUECB President Lagarde SpeaksMed
14:20GBBOE Gov Bailey SpeaksHigh
14:30USAverage Hourly Earnings m/mHigh
14:30USNon-Farm Employment ChangeHigh
14:30USUnemployment RateHigh
16:00USPrelim UoM Consumer SentimentMed
16:00USPrelim UoM Inflation ExpectationsMed
18:00USPresident Trump SpeaksMed

Key Levels — DAX

📐
LevelPriceType
R324514Resistance
R224475Resistance
R124405Resistance
POC24380POC
Pivot24339Pivot
S124275Support
S224200Support
S324120Support

Overnight Session

🌙
DAX Pre-Market
24339
1702
EURO STOXX 50
5912
-61
VIX
17.26
0.18
10Y Yield
4.366
-0.026
EUR-USD
1.1776
0.0029
Brent
101.32
1.26

Market Context

📊
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX Sentiment56/100
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call44/100
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure53/100
Eurozone implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VSTOXX level: VSTOXX<=18 -> ~100 (calm); VSTOXX>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias on DAX. Red = stressed, bearish for DAX. Amber = mid.
VSTOXX28/100
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth42/100

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry24327-24351
Stop24275
TP124405
TP224475
Only tactical longs above pivot; strength needs to reclaim 24405 while holding 24275 risk.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry24263-24287
Stop24339
TP124200
TP224120
Break below 24275 would signal failed intraday support and open room toward lower liquidity pockets.
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