Catalysts & Headlines (CET)
DAX tests the upper intraday range
A sustained hold above the pivot keeps buyers in control and forces shorts to defend the 25021 high.
15:16
US labour data shapes afternoon risk tone
Claims above forecast would cool yields, while a firm labour print can revive dollar and yield pressure into the US open.
14:30
Economic Calendar (CET)
14:30USInitial Jobless ClaimsMed
Key Levels — DAX
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 25280 | Resistance |
| R2 | 25155 | Resistance |
| R1 | 25021 | Resistance |
| POC | 24925 | POC |
| Pivot | 24907 | Pivot |
| S1 | 24848 | Support |
| S2 | 24740 | Support |
| S3 | 24620 | Support |
Overnight Session
DAX Pre-Market
24907
505
EURO STOXX 50
6036
9
VIX
17.34
-0.05
10Y Yield
4.318
-0.038
EUR-USD
1.1777
0.0061
Brent
97.55
-3.72
Market Context
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX Sentiment74 / 100
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call56 / 100
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure62 / 100
EUR implied volatility level (0–100). Higher = more FX volatility, macro/ECB uncertainty. Lower = stable EUR, supportive for DAX exporters. Green = low vol. Red = high vol, stress. Amber = moderate.
Euro Vol52 / 100
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth61 / 100
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Limit |
| Entry | 24895-24919 |
| Stop | 24848 |
| TP1 | 25021 |
| TP2 | 25155 |
Preferred dip-buy zone near the pivot while the trend remains firm and volatility stays contained.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Limit |
| Entry | 25009-25033 |
| Stop | 25155 |
| TP1 | 24848 |
| TP2 | 24740 |
Fade only on rejection at the session high; failure there risks a rotation back through support.
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