Catalysts & Headlines (CET)
European equities hold breakout tone
DAX and EURO STOXX are pressing session highs while VIX weakness supports risk appetite into the late Xetra tape.
19:32
ECB policy signal remains in focus
The ECB statement can still drive rates and euro sensitivity after the policy decision.
14:15
US GDP and Core PCE steer global risk
US growth and inflation data are the key macro inputs for Wall Street risk appetite and DAX follow-through.
14:30
BOE decision adds European rates volatility
BOE communication matters for European rates and GBP-linked risk sentiment, with indirect spillover into DAX cyclicals.
13:00
Economic Calendar (CET)
10:00DEGerman Prelim GDP q/qMed
11:00EUCore CPI Flash Estimate y/yMed
11:00EUCPI Flash Estimate y/yMed
13:00GBBOE Monetary Policy ReportHigh
13:00GBMonetary Policy SummaryHigh
13:00GBMPC Official Bank Rate VotesHigh
13:00GBOfficial Bank RateHigh
13:30GBBOE Gov Bailey SpeaksHigh
14:15EUMain Refinancing RateHigh
14:15EUMonetary Policy StatementHigh
14:30USAdvance GDP q/qHigh
14:30USCore PCE Price Index m/mHigh
Key Levels — DAX
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 24540 | Resistance |
| R2 | 24415 | Resistance |
| R1 | 24302 | Resistance |
| POC | 24210 | POC |
| Pivot | 24240 | Pivot |
| S1 | 24155 | Support |
| S2 | 24040 | Support |
| S3 | 23920 | Support |
Overnight Session
DAX Pre-Market
24292
274
EURO STOXX 50
5882
65
VIX
17.36
-1.45
10Y Yield
4.398
-0.020
EUR-USD
1.1732
0.0014
Brent
109.64
-8.39
Market Context
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX Sentiment72/100 bullish
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call0.82 supportive
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term StructureVIX 17.36 easing
EUR implied volatility level (0–100). Higher = more FX volatility, macro/ECB uncertainty. Lower = stable EUR, supportive for DAX exporters. Green = low vol. Red = high vol, stress. Amber = moderate.
Euro Vol54/100 event elevated
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth70/100 positive
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 24294-24314 |
| Stop | 24230 |
| TP1 | 24415 |
| TP2 | 24540 |
Breakout through R1 confirms session-high continuation with volatility falling and STOXX confirmation.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 24228-24252 |
| Stop | 24314 |
| TP1 | 24155 |
| TP2 | 24040 |
Momentum failure below pivot would target lower supports after late-session profit taking.
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