Catalysts & Headlines (CET)

⚡
German preliminary inflation print
Sticky regional price pressures can keep Bund yields firm and cap rate-sensitive upside in European equities.
08:29
Federal Reserve rate decision
Any shift in policy guidance can quickly reprice yields, the dollar and late-session equity risk.
20:00
FOMC statement
Wording on inflation, labor and balance-sheet policy will drive the first volatility impulse.
20:00
FOMC press conference
Powell's tone often determines whether the initial post-decision move extends or reverses.
20:30

Economic Calendar (CET)

📅
08:29DEGerman Prelim CPI m/mMed
20:00USFederal Funds RateHigh
20:00USFOMC StatementHigh
20:30USFOMC Press ConferenceHigh

Key Levels — DAX

📐
LevelPriceType
R324348Resistance
R224229Resistance
R124156Resistance
POC24010POC
Pivot24037Pivot
S123965Support
S223846Support
S323774Support

Overnight Session

🌙
DAX Pre-Market
24009
-74
EURO STOXX 50
5827
-9
VIX
18.04
0.21
10Y Yield
4.370
0.016
EUR-USD
1.1700
-0.0023
Brent
108.13
-3.13

Market Context

📊
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX Sentiment43
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call49
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure44
EUR implied volatility level (0–100). Higher = more FX volatility, macro/ECB uncertainty. Lower = stable EUR, supportive for DAX exporters. Green = low vol. Red = high vol, stress. Amber = moderate.
Euro Vol46
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth41

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry23959-23967
Stop23838
TP124156
TP224229
Dip-buy at S1 with stop below S2; rebound into R1 and R2 works if support survives Fed-risk positioning.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry24031-24039
Stop24164
TP123846
TP223774
Failure back under pivot keeps sellers in control and exposes S2 then S3 if US-event caution deepens.
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