Catalysts & Headlines (CET)

⚡
US unemployment claims
A softer labor print would support rates and risk assets, while a hotter print can extend equity pressure and keep DAX rallies capped.
13:30
President Trump speaks
Late-session headlines can move USD, yields, and index futures, adding headline risk into the US close.
21:00

Economic Calendar (CET)

📅
13:30USUnemployment ClaimsHigh
21:00USPresident Trump SpeaksMed

Key Levels — DAX

📐
LevelPriceType
R322880Resistance
R222780Resistance
R122700Resistance
POC22630POC
Pivot22635Pivot
S122560Support
S222480Support
S322390Support

Overnight Session

🌙
DAX Pre-Market
22626
-11
EURO STOXX 50
5572
-78
VIX
27.14
1.81
10Y Yield
4.370
0.042
EUR-USD
1.1545
-0.0070
Brent
101.57
-0.65

Market Context

📊
Composite sentiment from institutional positioning, options flow, and retail surveys.
DAX Sentiment38
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = hedging/fear; below 0.7 = complacency.
Put-Call61
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = stress.
VIX Term Structure70
Euro currency implied volatility. Rising = ECB uncertainty or macro stress.
Euro Vol66
% of DAX 40 constituents above 20-day MA. High = broad trend. Low = rotation risk.
Breadth42

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry22685-22705
Stop22585
TP122780
TP222880
Reclaim above intraday resistance and short-covering may extend toward the morning high.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry22555-22545
Stop22620
TP122480
TP222390
Break below session support can trigger momentum selling toward lower DAX supports.
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