Catalysts & Headlines (CET)

⚡
UK CPI Holds in Line
Inflation matching forecast keeps rate expectations steady and limits fresh pressure on European equities.
08:00
Lagarde Speech in Focus
Any shift in ECB tone can move Bund yields and cyclicals during the European session.
09:45
US Political Commentary Risk
Late US remarks can swing Treasury yields and risk sentiment into the close.
00:20

Economic Calendar (CET)

📅
08:00GBCPI y/yHigh
09:45EUECB President Lagarde SpeaksMed
00:20USPresident Trump SpeaksMed

Key Levels — DAX

📐
LevelPriceType
R323250Resistance
R223150Resistance
R123080Resistance
POC23010POC
Pivot22950Pivot
S122890Support
S222820Support
S322720Support

Overnight Session

🌙
DAX Pre-Market
23013
359
EURO STOXX 50
5656
75
VIX
25.65
-1.30
10Y Yield
4.328
-0.064
EUR-USD
1.1583
-0.0024
Brent
95.09
-9.40

Market Context

📊
Composite sentiment from institutional positioning, options flow, and retail surveys.
DAX Sentiment78
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = hedging/fear; below 0.7 = complacency.
Put-Call58
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = stress.
VIX Term Structure54
Euro currency implied volatility. Rising = ECB uncertainty or macro stress.
Euro Vol63
% of DAX 40 constituents above 20-day MA. High = broad trend. Low = rotation risk.
Breadth72

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry23085-23110
Stop22945
TP123150
TP223250
Breakout continuation above the intraday high with momentum still supported by lower volatility.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry22880-22895
Stop23025
TP122820
TP222720
Failure back below the pivot would signal a fast mean-reversion from overbought intraday conditions.
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