Catalysts & Headlines (CET)

⚡
SNB policy decision and assessment
Swiss policy communication can move European rates, FX and broader risk sentiment into the DAX open.
09:30
BoE rate decision and vote split
Sterling and European index volatility can rise sharply if the vote distribution or guidance surprises.
13:00
US jobless claims
A miss versus expectations could quickly shift yields and index futures during the afternoon session.
13:30
ECB rate decision and policy statement
Any change in tone on cuts or inflation can move Bunds, banks and the DAX immediately.
14:15

Economic Calendar (CET)

📅
08:00🇬🇧 Claimant Count ChangeHigh
08:00🇬🇧 Average Earnings Index 3m/yMed
09:30🇨🇭 SNB Monetary Policy AssessmentHigh
09:30🇨🇭 SNB Policy RateHigh
10:00🇨🇭 SNB Press ConferenceHigh
13:00🇬🇧 Monetary Policy SummaryHigh
13:00🇬🇧 MPC Official Bank Rate VotesHigh
13:00🇬🇧 Official Bank RateHigh
13:30🇺🇸 Unemployment ClaimsHigh
13:30🇺🇸 Philly Fed Manufacturing IndexMed
14:15🇪🇺 Main Refinancing RateHigh
14:15🇪🇺 Monetary Policy StatementHigh

Key Levels — DAX

📐
LevelPriceType
R323180Resistance
R223080Resistance
R122980Resistance
POC22820POC
Pivot22931Pivot
S122796Support
S222720Support
S322620Support

Overnight Session

🌙
DAX Pre-Market
22817
0
EURO STOXX 50
5593
0
VIX
27.19
0.00
10Y Yield
4.300
0.000
EUR-USD
1.1488
0.0000
Brent
107.11
0.00

Market Context

📊
Composite sentiment from institutional positioning, options flow, and retail surveys.
DAX Sentiment32
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = hedging/fear; below 0.7 = complacency.
Put-Call68
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = stress.
VIX Term Structure29
Euro currency implied volatility. Rising = ECB uncertainty or macro stress.
Euro Vol64
% of DAX 40 constituents above 20-day MA. High = broad trend. Low = rotation risk.
Breadth35

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry22980-23000
Stop22840
TP123080
TP223180
Only valid on recovery through resistance with volatility cooling and buyers reclaiming pivot.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry22790-22770
Stop22860
TP122720
TP222620
Break of session low opens downside extension as weak risk sentiment accelerates liquidation.
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