Catalysts & Headlines (CET)

⚡
US producer inflation data could reset rate expectations
A hotter PPI print would likely pressure equities through higher terminal rate pricing and firmer yields.
13:30
Fed decision and statement set the macro tone
Any hawkish shift in language or projections could trigger broad risk reduction into the close.
19:00
Powell press conference may amplify post-decision swings
Q&A often drives the second market move as traders reassess policy guidance and growth risks.
19:30

Economic Calendar (CET)

📅
13:30🇺🇸 Core PPI m/mHigh
13:30🇺🇸 PPI m/mHigh
19:00🇺🇸 Federal Funds RateHigh
19:00🇺🇸 FOMC Economic ProjectionsHigh
19:00🇺🇸 FOMC StatementHigh
19:30🇺🇸 FOMC Press ConferenceHigh

Key Levels — DAX

📐
LevelPriceType
R323957Resistance
R223820Resistance
R123720Resistance
POC23620POC
Pivot23601Pivot
S123590Support
S223480Support
S323350Support

Overnight Session

🌙
DAX Pre-Market
23601
0
EURO STOXX 50
5739
0
VIX
23.81
0.00
10Y Yield
4.222
0.000
EUR-USD
1.1497
0.0000
Brent
107.74
0.00

Market Context

📊
Composite sentiment from institutional positioning, options flow, and retail surveys.
DAX Sentiment48
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = hedging/fear; below 0.7 = complacency.
Put-Call61
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = stress.
VIX Term Structure34
Euro currency implied volatility. Rising = ECB uncertainty or macro stress.
Euro Vol42
% of DAX 40 constituents above 20-day MA. High = broad trend. Low = rotation risk.
Breadth46

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry23720-23740
Stop23620
TP123820
TP223957
Momentum long only on breakout above resistance with room toward session high.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry23580-23590
Stop23660
TP123480
TP223350
Break of session floor opens downside extension as volatility remains elevated.
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