Catalysts & Headlines (CET)
Key US data event at 14:30 CET dominates risk backdrop
Non-Farm Payrolls and Wage data drive volatility; expect reaction if prints surprise the macro view
14:30
Unemployment and earnings data likely to steer intraday trend
US data cycle could trigger acceleration or retreat in DAX depending on headline surprises
14:30
BoE Bailey speech may influence UK/German cross-asset tone
Policy commentary could tune risk sentiment into the London session
20:00
Economic Calendar (CET)
14:30USAverage Hourly Earnings m/mHigh
14:30USNon-Farm Employment ChangeHigh
14:30USUnemployment RateHigh
20:00GBBOE Gov Bailey SpeaksMed
Key Levels — DAX
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| Pivot | 24910 | Pivot |
| R1 | 24960 | Resistance |
| R2 | 25040 | Resistance |
| S1 | 24860 | Support |
| S2 | 24820 | Support |
| S3 | 24740 | Support |
Overnight Session
DAX Pre-Market
24909
754
EURO STOXX 50
6087
-16
VIX
15.92
0.52
10Y Yield
4.540
0.063
EUR-USD
1.1597
-0.0012
Brent
94.58
-0.45
Market Context
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX SentimentBullish near-term
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-CallNeutral
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term StructureContained
Eurozone implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VSTOXX level: VSTOXX<=18 -> ~100 (calm); VSTOXX>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias on DAX. Red = stressed, bearish for DAX. Amber = mid.
VSTOXX35.46
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth+1.4% vs avg
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 24960-25010 |
| Stop | S1 24860 |
| TP1 | R1 24960 |
| TP2 | R2 25040 |
Breakout above Pivot toward R1 with buffer
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Limit |
| Entry | 24860-24910 |
| Stop | R1 24960 |
| TP1 | S1 24860 |
| TP2 | S2 24820 |
Fade rallies into S1/S2 near-term
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