Catalysts & Headlines (CET)

⚡
UK inflation reinforces rate pressure
Sticky inflation keeps European rate expectations firm and increases sensitivity to rising yields.
08:00
Oil and Iran risk challenge cyclicals
Higher Brent threatens margins and caps upside in energy-sensitive European cyclicals.
15:16
Industrial leadership strengthens the DAX
Airbus, Siemens and technology strength are broadening leadership and supporting the index above the Pivot.
15:16
Trump speech adds headline risk
Policy remarks could move yields, currencies and equity risk appetite into the close.
21:00

Economic Calendar (CET)

📅
08:00GBCPI y/yHigh
21:00USPresident Trump SpeaksMed

Key Levels — DAX

📐
LevelPriceType
R325660Resistance
R225520Resistance
R125366Resistance
POC25255POC
Pivot25220Pivot
S125079Support
S224950Support
S324790Support

Overnight Session

🌙
DAX Pre-Market
25255
965
EURO STOXX 50
6310
24
VIX
17.36
0.31
10Y Yield
4.644
0.016
EUR-USD
1.1413
-0.0005
Brent
94.50
3.49

Market Context

📊
Overall DAX risk appetite, estimated from price action and breadth. Colour = the read: green = risk-on/bullish, amber = mixed, red = risk-off/bearish. Bar = how pronounced the reading is.
DAX Sentiment
Strong, buyers in control
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Calls hold mild edge
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Contango, calm
European equity volatility read (VSTOXX-style; proxied from VIX and price action, since live VSTOXX is unavailable). Colour: green = calm/risk-on (supportive for DAX), amber = mid, red = elevated stress. Bar = strength of the signal.
Euro Vol
Firm but still contained
DAX-40 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Broadening beyond defensives

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry25210-25230
Stop25119
TP125341
TP225462
Buy a controlled pullback into the Pivot while industrial leadership holds and the DAX remains above S1.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry25356-25376
Stop25467
TP125245
TP225124
Fade a failed R1 test only if oil and yields overwhelm industrial strength and price rejects the session high.
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