Catalysts & Headlines (CET)
ECB President speaks (first appearance)
Comments can shift EUR/USD and regional risk appetite ahead of cash open.
15:00
ECB President speaks (follow-up)
Second remarks may reinforce market direction and volatility into US close.
17:25
Economic Calendar (CET)
15:00EUECB President Lagarde SpeaksMed
17:25EUECB President Lagarde SpeaksMed
Key Levels — DAX
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 25320 | Resistance |
| R2 | 25140 | Resistance |
| R1 | 25030 | Resistance |
| POC | 24960 | POC |
| Pivot | 24900 | Pivot |
| S1 | 24780 | Support |
| S2 | 24620 | Support |
| S3 | 24400 | Support |
Overnight Session
DAX Pre-Market
24986
647
EURO STOXX 50
6293
-30
VIX
16.40
-0.00
10Y Yield
4.451
0.000
EUR-USD
1.1456
-0.0003
Brent
78.89
-0.96
Market Context
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX SentimentMixed; gap higher but regional strength uneven
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-CallSlight call skew intra-day
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term StructureBenign curve, front-end calm
Eurozone equity volatility score (0–100), estimated from VIX and price action. Green = calm/risk-on, supportive for DAX. Red = stressed, bearish for DAX. Amber = mid.
Euro VolMuted headline risk until Lagarde
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
BreadthBreadth mixed; selective leadership
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Limit |
| Entry | 24920-24935 |
| Stop | 24828 |
| TP1 | 25048 |
| TP2 | 25168 |
Buy dip toward Pivot/POC into measured rally with R1/R2 targets.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 24794-24809 |
| Stop | 24902 |
| TP1 | 24682 |
| TP2 | 24562 |
Fade failure below Pivot into S1/S2 with stop above R1.
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