Catalysts & Headlines (CET)
FOMC policy decisions and projections in focus
Three high-impact US events (Rate decision plus projections and statement) set the near-term tempo; risk assets gaze for clarity on rate trajectory and macro cues.
20:00 CET
ECB Lagarde speaks
A mid-day EU catalyst that could influence euro sentiment and risk appetite ahead of US session.
12:50 CET
Economic Calendar (CET)
08:00GBCPI y/yHigh
12:50EUECB President Lagarde SpeaksMed
14:30USCore Retail Sales m/mMed
14:30USRetail Sales m/mMed
15:30USPresident Trump SpeaksMed
20:00USFederal Funds RateHigh
20:00USFOMC Economic ProjectionsHigh
20:00USFOMC StatementHigh
20:30USFOMC Press ConferenceHigh
Key Levels — DAX
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| Pivot | 24910 | Pivot |
| R1 | 25040 | Resistance |
| R2 | 25180 | Resistance |
| S1 | 24880 | Support |
| S2 | 24700 | Support |
| S3 | 24560 | Support |
| POC | 24895 | POC |
Overnight Session
DAX Pre-Market
24910
509
EURO STOXX 50
6257
28
VIX
16.41
0.21
10Y Yield
4.428
-0.041
EUR-USD
1.1609
0.0015
Brent
78.75
-0.21
Market Context
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX SentimentBullish drift
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-CallNeutral
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term StructureContained
Eurozone equity volatility score (0–100), estimated from VIX and price action. Green = calm/risk-on, supportive for DAX. Red = stressed, bearish for DAX. Amber = mid.
Euro VolModerate
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
BreadthBroad participation
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Limit |
| Entry | 24895-24905 |
| Stop | 24800 |
| TP1 | 25020 |
| TP2 | 25140 |
Pivot support cushions entry
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Limit |
| Entry | 25068-25083 |
| Stop | 25176 |
| TP1 | 24956 |
| TP2 | 24836 |
Fade rally if volatility expands
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