Catalysts & Headlines (CET)
ECB/US data flow hits risk clock
ECB press conference and US PPI/PPI data to drive intraday direction; expect volatility near pivot zones.
14:15
Main Refinancing Rate decison and statement
EUR policy decision and statement likely to trigger quick moves if surprise.
14:15
PPI and Core PPI (US) release
Core PPI and PPI m/m may drive dollar and risk assets in afternoon session.
14:30
ECB press conference follow-through
ECB commentary can steer EU equity flows and forex during late session.
14:45
Economic Calendar (CET)
14:15EUMain Refinancing RateHigh
14:15EUMonetary Policy StatementHigh
14:30USCore PPI m/mHigh
14:30USPPI m/mHigh
14:30USUnemployment ClaimsMed
14:45EUECB Press ConferenceHigh
Key Levels — DAX
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| Pivot | 24125 | Pivot |
| R1 | 24200 | Resistance |
| R2 | 24300 | Resistance |
| S1 | 24050 | Support |
| S2 | 23950 | Support |
| S3 | 23850 | Support |
Overnight Session
DAX Pre-Market
24192
237
EURO STOXX 50
6048
38
VIX
21.23
-0.99
10Y Yield
4.530
-0.012
EUR-USD
1.1527
-0.0008
Brent
93.12
0.02
Market Context
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX SentimentNeutral drift
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-CallNeutral
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term StructureContango
Eurozone implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VSTOXX level: VSTOXX<=18 -> ~100 (calm); VSTOXX>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias on DAX. Red = stressed, bearish for DAX. Amber = mid.
VSTOXXCalm
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
BreadthMixed
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Limit |
| Entry | 24065-24095 |
| Stop | S1-24050 |
| TP1 | R1-24200 |
| TP2 | R2-24300 |
Pivot-based breakout setup with buffer
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 24240-24275 |
| Stop | R2-24300 |
| TP1 | S1-24050 |
| TP2 | S2-23950 |
Fade rally around R1/R2 with tight stop
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