Catalysts & Headlines (CET)
Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment
A surprise in US consumer confidence can shift yields, the dollar and late-session DAX risk appetite.
16:00
SNB Chairman Schlegel Speaks
Policy remarks can spill into European rates and FX, influencing broader afternoon risk tone.
10:00
UK Retail Sales m/m
The morning data set the early European macro tone and remains relevant for cyclical and consumer sentiment.
08:00
Economic Calendar (CET)
08:00GBRetail Sales m/mHigh
10:00CHSNB Chairman Schlegel SpeaksMed
16:00USRevised UoM Consumer SentimentMed
Key Levels — DAX
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 24684 | Resistance |
| R2 | 24507 | Resistance |
| R1 | 24351 | Resistance |
| POC | 24160 | POC |
| Pivot | 24175 | Pivot |
| S1 | 24018 | Support |
| S2 | 23842 | Support |
| S3 | 23686 | Support |
Overnight Session
DAX Pre-Market
24158
-37
EURO STOXX 50
5887
-8
VIX
18.95
-0.36
10Y Yield
4.316
-0.007
EUR-USD
1.1712
0.0006
Brent
99.07
-6.00
Market Context
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX Sentiment46
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call54
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure61
EUR implied volatility level (0–100). Higher = more FX volatility, macro/ECB uncertainty. Lower = stable EUR, supportive for DAX exporters. Green = low vol. Red = high vol, stress. Amber = moderate.
Euro Vol48
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth42
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Limit |
| Entry | 24014-24026 |
| Stop | 23838 |
| TP1 | 24351 |
| TP2 | 24507 |
Dip-buy near S1 targets a squeeze back toward R1 if 24018 support absorbs another pullback.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Limit |
| Entry | 24345-24357 |
| Stop | 24511 |
| TP1 | 24018 |
| TP2 | 23842 |
Fade strength into R1 while price stays below resistance; acceptance there exposes S1 first and S2 on renewed weakness.
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