Catalysts & Headlines (CET)
US Empire State Manufacturing Index
A stronger print would reinforce the bid in cyclicals and keep DAX near session highs; a miss could trigger profit-taking.
14:30
Trump remarks
Any tariff or policy headlines can quickly shift global risk appetite and move the index in both directions.
12:00
ECB President Lagarde speaks
Tone on growth and inflation can influence euro, yields, and DAX rate-sensitive sectors later in the session.
21:30
Economic Calendar (CET)
14:30USEmpire State Manufacturing IndexMed
12:00USPresident Trump SpeaksMed
21:30EUECB President Lagarde SpeaksMed
17:50GBBOE Gov Bailey SpeaksMed
19:00CHSNB Chairman Schlegel SpeaksMed
20:00GBBOE Gov Bailey SpeaksMed
Key Levels — DAX
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 24350 | Resistance |
| R2 | 24250 | Resistance |
| R1 | 24127 | Resistance |
| POC | 24056 | POC |
| Pivot | 24000 | Pivot |
| S1 | 23997 | Support |
| S2 | 23925 | Support |
| S3 | 23850 | Support |
Overnight Session
DAX Pre-Market
24056
313
EURO STOXX 50
5954
-31
VIX
17.86
-0.50
10Y Yield
4.266
0.010
EUR-USD
1.1791
0.0022
Brent
95.26
0.47
Market Context
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX Sentiment74
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call58
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure63
EUR implied volatility level (0–100). Higher = more FX volatility, macro/ECB uncertainty. Lower = stable EUR, supportive for DAX exporters. Green = low vol. Red = high vol, stress. Amber = moderate.
Euro Vol54
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth61
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 24130-24145 |
| Stop | 24020 |
| TP1 | 24250 |
| TP2 | 24350 |
Break above the day high should extend momentum if US data stays supportive.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 23990-23980 |
| Stop | 24055 |
| TP1 | 23925 |
| TP2 | 23850 |
Loss of 24000 opens a quick flush toward the lower intraday support band.
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