Catalysts & Headlines (CET)
Core PCE and Final GDP hit together
Inflation and growth data can quickly reset U.S. yields and spill over into DAX risk appetite.
14:30
Unemployment Claims add labor read
A surprise in claims can amplify the first move after the main releases and lift volatility.
14:30
Final GDP Price Index confirms inflation trend
A firmer print would support yields and pressure duration-sensitive equities.
14:33
Economic Calendar (CET)
14:30USCore PCE Price Index m/mHigh
14:30USFinal GDP q/qHigh
14:30USUnemployment ClaimsMed
14:33USFinal GDP Price Index q/qMed
Key Levels — DAX
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 24050 | Resistance |
| R2 | 23990 | Resistance |
| R1 | 23890 | Resistance |
| POC | 23760 | POC |
| Pivot | 23710 | Pivot |
| S1 | 23640 | Support |
| S2 | 23580 | Support |
| S3 | 23490 | Support |
Overnight Session
DAX Pre-Market
23758
836
EURO STOXX 50
5863
-50
VIX
21.29
0.25
10Y Yield
4.295
0.004
EUR-USD
1.1690
0.0003
Brent
98.08
3.33
Market Context
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX Sentiment66
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call52
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure44
EUR implied volatility level (0–100). Higher = more FX volatility, macro/ECB uncertainty. Lower = stable EUR, supportive for DAX exporters. Green = low vol. Red = high vol, stress. Amber = moderate.
Euro Vol49
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth57
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 23895-23905 |
| Stop | 23735 |
| TP1 | 23990 |
| TP2 | 24050 |
Trend stays intact if DAX clears first resistance and absorbs the U.S. data without rejection.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 23635-23645 |
| Stop | 23745 |
| TP1 | 23580 |
| TP2 | 23490 |
A loss of intraday support would signal profit-taking and a faster unwind into U.S. releases.
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