Catalysts & Headlines (CET)

US durable goods data due
A weaker print would reinforce risk-off positioning and pressure cyclicals and banks.
14:30

Economic Calendar (CET)

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14:30USCore Durable Goods Orders m/mMed
14:30USDurable Goods Orders m/mMed

Key Levels — DAX

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LevelPriceType
R323400Resistance
R223300Resistance
R123150Resistance
POC23100POC
Pivot23200Pivot
S123050Support
S222950Support
S322850Support

Overnight Session

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DAX Pre-Market
23077
-222
EURO STOXX 50
5666
-27
VIX
25.34
1.17
10Y Yield
4.333
-0.002
EUR-USD
1.1566
0.0056
Brent
110.13
0.36

Market Context

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Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX Sentiment32
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call58
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure41
EUR implied volatility level (0–100). Higher = more FX volatility, macro/ECB uncertainty. Lower = stable EUR, supportive for DAX exporters. Green = low vol. Red = high vol, stress. Amber = moderate.
Euro Vol36
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth29

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry23160-23180
Stop23035
TP123240
TP223320
Needs a reclaim of resistance after the delayed cash move.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry23040
Stop23170
TP122960
TP222870
Break of session support could extend selling into the US data window.
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