Catalysts & Headlines (CET)
US unemployment claims
A soft print would support equities and DAX cyclicals; a hotter number could lift yields and pressure risk assets.
14:30
Spike in Brent crude
The sharp oil move raises inflation and margin concerns, which can blunt DAX upside in heavy industrial and transport names.
15:17
VIX re-pricing above 27
Higher equity volatility signals caution and keeps intraday rallies from extending cleanly.
15:17
Economic Calendar (CET)
08:30CHCPI m/mMed
14:30USUnemployment ClaimsHigh
Key Levels — DAX
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 22997 | Resistance |
| R2 | 22920 | Resistance |
| R1 | 22845 | Resistance |
| POC | 22775 | POC |
| Pivot | 22725 | Pivot |
| S1 | 22678 | Support |
| S2 | 22590 | Support |
| S3 | 22480 | Support |
Overnight Session
DAX Pre-Market
22775
95
EURO STOXX 50
5609
-123
VIX
27.66
3.12
10Y Yield
4.358
0.039
EUR-USD
1.1529
-0.0045
Brent
109.04
7.88
Market Context
Overall market mood (0–100). Higher = more bullish. Lower = more bearish. Green = risk-on. Red = risk-off. Amber = mixed.
DAX Sentiment56
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call48
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure34
EUR implied volatility level (0–100). Higher = more FX volatility, macro/ECB uncertainty. Lower = stable EUR, supportive for DAX exporters. Green = low vol. Red = high vol, stress. Amber = moderate.
Euro Vol42
DAX 40 breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth53
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 22845-22870 |
| Stop | 22720 |
| TP1 | 22920 |
| TP2 | 22997 |
Buy only if price reclaims momentum above resistance with room for a squeeze.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 22670-22685 |
| Stop | 22745 |
| TP1 | 22590 |
| TP2 | 22480 |
Break below support likely triggers volatility-led de-risking and faster downside.
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