Catalysts & Headlines (CET)

⚡
US Core PCE and US GDP (prelim)
Hot inflation or stronger growth can lift yields and pressure equities; a cooler print may trigger a relief bid, especially with elevated volatility.
13:30
US JOLTS Job Openings
Labour tightness signals can move rates quickly; higher openings typically supports higher yields and can cap DAX rebounds into the close.
15:00

Economic Calendar (CET)

📅
08:00🇬🇧 GDP m/mHigh
13:30🇺🇸 Core PCE Price Index m/mHigh
13:30🇺🇸 Prelim GDP q/qHigh
13:30🇺🇸 Core Durable Goods Orders m/mMed
13:30🇺🇸 Durable Goods Orders m/mMed
13:30🇺🇸 Prelim GDP Price Index q/qMed
15:00🇺🇸 JOLTS Job OpeningsHigh
15:00🇺🇸 Prelim UoM Consumer SentimentMed
15:00🇺🇸 Prelim UoM Inflation ExpectationsMed

Key Levels — DAX

📐
LevelPriceType
R324000Resistance
R223760Resistance
R123590Resistance
POC23480POC
Pivot23513Pivot
S123300Support
S223294Support
S323000Support

Overnight Session

🌙
DAX Pre-Market
23483
-106
EURO STOXX 50
5726
-23
VIX
27.16
-0.13
10Y Yield
4.277
0.004
EUR-USD
1.1440
-0.0103
Brent
101.44
0.00

Market Context

📊
Composite sentiment from institutional positioning, options flow, and retail surveys.
DAX Sentiment44
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = hedging/fear; below 0.7 = complacency.
Put-Call62
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = stress.
VIX Term Structure35
Euro currency implied volatility. Rising = ECB uncertainty or macro stress.
Euro Vol58
% of DAX 40 constituents above 20-day MA. High = broad trend. Low = rotation risk.
Breadth41

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry23590-23610
Stop23480
TP123760
TP224000
Reclaim of prior close and R1 suggests buyers absorb dips; targets are day-range top then psychological 24000 if US data supports risk.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry23290-23300
Stop23400
TP123150
TP223000
Break of the session low area opens air-pocket risk; elevated VIX and stronger yields can accelerate downside toward 23000.
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