Catalysts & Headlines (CET)

⚡
US CPI (headline and core) release
A hotter print can push yields higher and extend the risk-off tape; a cooler print may trigger short-covering but likely faces resistance overhead.
13:30
President Trump remarks
Unexpected policy or geopolitical comments can amplify late-session volatility and drive index futures headline risk.
21:25

Economic Calendar (CET)

📅
13:30🇺🇸 Core CPI m/mHigh
13:30🇺🇸 CPI m/mHigh
13:30🇺🇸 CPI y/yHigh
21:25🇺🇸 President Trump SpeaksMed

Key Levels — DAX

📐
LevelPriceType
R324280Resistance
R224040Resistance
R123813Resistance
POC23690POC
Pivot23722Pivot
S123534Support
S223380Support
S323210Support

Overnight Session

🌙
DAX Pre-Market
23578
-390
EURO STOXX 50
5768
-70
VIX
25.51
0.58
10Y Yield
4.185
0.049
EUR-USD
1.1589
-0.0028
Brent
87.32
-0.48

Market Context

📊
Composite sentiment from institutional positioning, options flow, and retail surveys.
DAX Sentiment32
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = hedging/fear; below 0.7 = complacency.
Put-Call68
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = stress.
VIX Term Structure41
Euro currency implied volatility. Rising = ECB uncertainty or macro stress.
Euro Vol63
% of DAX 40 constituents above 20-day MA. High = broad trend. Low = rotation risk.
Breadth28

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry23820-23840
Stop23720
TP124040
TP224280
Only participate if price reclaims 23813 and holds; targets are the next supply zones with CPI-driven squeeze risk.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry23520-23530
Stop23690
TP123380
TP223210
Continuation trigger under 23534 support; elevated vol favors momentum follow-through toward lower supports if CPI disappoints risk assets.
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