Catalysts & Headlines (CET)

FOMC member Waller speaks
Any pushback against easing expectations can lift yields and pressure equities into the US session.
13:30
US labor market and consumption data (NFP, unemployment, earnings, retail sales)
A hot print risks higher yields and further equity downside; a soft print can trigger a relief rally but may be choppy with elevated vol.
14:30

Economic Calendar (CET)

📅
13:30🇺🇸 FOMC Member Waller SpeaksMed
14:30🇺🇸 Average Hourly Earnings m/mHigh
14:30🇺🇸 Core Retail Sales m/mHigh
14:30🇺🇸 Non-Farm Employment ChangeHigh
14:30🇺🇸 Retail Sales m/mHigh
14:30🇺🇸 Unemployment RateHigh

Key Levels — DAX

📐
LevelPriceType
R324028Resistance
R223816Resistance
R123620Resistance
POC23515POC
Pivot23629Pivot
S123343Support
S223200Support
S323000Support

Overnight Session

🌙
DAX Pre-Market
23515
-301
EURO STOXX 50
5701
-82
VIX
26.80
3.05
10Y Yield
4.171
0.025
EUR-USD
1.1579
-0.0056
Brent
91.08
5.67

Market Context

📊
Composite sentiment from institutional positioning, options flow, and retail surveys.
DAX Sentiment28
Put/Call Ratio — above 1.0 = hedging/fear; below 0.7 = complacency.
Put-Call67
Front-month vs back-month VIX spread. Contango = calm. Backwardation = stress.
VIX Term Structure34
Euro currency implied volatility. Rising = ECB uncertainty or macro stress.
Euro Vol62
% of DAX 40 constituents above 20-day MA. High = broad trend. Low = rotation risk.
Breadth30

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry23630-23660
Stop23510
TP123816
TP224028
Fade the selloff only on a pivot reclaim; targets are prior close and day high with volatility elevated.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry23340-23320
Stop23460
TP123200
TP223000
Breakdown below the session low can extend liquidation; elevated VIX and higher yields favor downside continuation.
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